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Final Fed Rate Cut and Basis Points Market Update for 2024

Updated: May 15

 

As widely anticipated, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 bps on Wednesday, lowering the Fed Funds target range to 4.25 – 4.50%. The projections released for 2025 indicate only two additional rate cuts in 2025. This is lower than the projections released in September which had indicated four rate cuts in 2025. As a result, treasury rates in the 1-30 year range increased ~2-5 bps intraday on Wednesday. Conversely, very short-term rates fell slightly by 1-2 bps.

 
While the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have been slower than expected in 2024, and may continue to be slower than projected in 2025, they are occurring nonetheless. This was the third rate cut in 2024. In the last year, both the 1-month treasury bill and 3-month treasury bill rates have decreased 103 basis points (according to Bloomberg’s Generic US Treasury Bill Rates as of December 18, 2024).
 
The current 1-month rate is nearly 50 basis points lower than the 1-year rate from last year in mid-December. In this decreasing short-term rate environment, borrowers have benefited from locking in fixed rate products for the reinvestment of their bond proceeds. Further, the inversion of the yield curve has offered many borrowers the unique opportunity to earn (and in some cases, even keep) positive arbitrage on their investments.
US Treasury Rates

The 1-year treasury rate over the past year has also decreased, but not nearly by the same extent as very short-term rates. Since December 18, 2023 we’ve seen a reduction of ~67 basis points for the 1-year treasury. As a result, we continue to see benefit from fixed rate reinvestment products.

 

Below we show current reinvestment rate indications. For a more tailored indication to your specific fund(s) or to discuss the risks and benefits associated with these structures, please reach out to Georgina Walleshauser or your Blue Rose advisor.  

Average Life
GIC
Repo
Portfolio
1-year
4.30%
3.87%
4.22%
2-year
4.35%
3.77%
4.28%
3-year
4.37%
4.30%

Georgina Walleshauser, Vice President | 952-746-6036  

 

In her role of Vice President, Georgina Walleshauser manages a number of the firm’s clients, providing them with advice on and ensuring a smooth closing for all types of debt and derivative product transactions, capital planning solutions, and detailed credit assessments. Ms. Walleshauser serves as an advisor to public and private higher education, non-profit and governmental institutions. She specializes in analyzing and assessing reinvestment strategies for clients, leading most of Blue Rose’s reinvestment transactions. Ms. Walleshauser has vast expertise in providing modeling, analytics, market data, and research in support of the delivery of capital planning, debt and derivatives advisory, and reinvestment services to our clients. She joined Blue Rose in 2017 as a Junior Quantitative Analyst.

 

Media Contact:  

 

Laura Klingelhutz, Marketing Coordinator

952-208-5710

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Blue Rose Capital Advisors is an independent financial advisory firm that does not engage in underwriting activities. We are registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB) as a Municipal Advisor. Because we have not engaged in underwriting activities in our history, we generally qualify as an Independent Registered Municipal Advisor (IRMA).

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